Originally posted March 25th, 2020 on Facebook

As I feared, the case load in the United States has gone by 10 fold approximately every week. When I first gave my talk on March 3, it was 124. On March 13 for Mars Hill, it was 1,762. As I write this on March 25th, it’s 55,041. By Friday the 27th, if the current rate holds, it will be approximately 150,000.

There is some good news, however! In much of the US last week, containment measures have been taken and many are in their homes right now for this reason, working from home, or just taking some time off. It has been a big sacrifice for everyone, and the sacrifice isn’t over. While new cases are still rising, the rate of new cases is starting to go down! For the US as a whole, the rate of increase was between 35-40 between the 17th and 22nd. For the last several days however, the rate has been 31%. Yesterday, the rate fell to 19%! This is still too high of course, but our sacrifice is beginning to pay off. So keep it up!

The curve for the total number of cases is just beginning to bend. It’s just a beginning, but it’s progress. The more we bend this curve, the more lives we save!

Don’t fear, but be smart!
Erik

As I feared, the case load in the United States has gone by 10 fold approximately every week. When I first gave my talk on March 3, it was 124. On March 13 for Mars Hill, it was 1,762. As I write this on March 25th, it’s 55,041. By Friday the 27th, if the current rate holds, it will be approximately 150,000.

There is some good news, however! In much of the US last week, containment measures have been taken and many are in their homes right now for this reason, working from home, or just taking some time off. It has been a big sacrifice for everyone, and the sacrifice isn’t over. While new cases are still rising, the rate of new cases is starting to go down! For the US as a whole, the rate of increase was between 35-40 between the 17th and 22nd. For the last several days however, the rate has been 31%. Yesterday, the rate fell to 19%! This is still too high of course, but our sacrifice is beginning to pay off. So keep it up!

The curve for the total number of cases is just beginning to bend. It’s just a beginning, but it’s progress. The more we bend this curve, the more lives we save!

Don’t fear, but be smart!
Erik