Case Update: August 11th, 2020

Here’s the weekly update.  The US, California, and San Diego County continue to improve.  New confirmed cases continue to drop.  I have to qualify this however, since California had a problem with their cases reporting system for much of last week.  It’s back working normally, but cases may still be erratic in number for the next few days.  This may impact the San Diego numbers as well. 

Graph is by me, from data collected from Johns Hopkins University COVID site.
Graph is by me, from data collected from Johns Hopkins University COVID site.
Graph is by me, from data collected from San Diego County Public Health. See also regularly updated slides from SD County.
Graph is by me, from data collected from Johns Hopkins University COVID site. “Active Confirmed Cases” numbers are calculated based on the assumption that patients confirmed to have SARS-2 virus at least 17 days ago have recovered.
Graph is by me, from data collected from San Diego County Public Health. See also regularly updated slides from SD County. Some data points of “Active Confirmed Cases” are from SD County, others are calculated.

Death rates are climbing to some degree, but this was expected to lag behind the large spike in cases we had in June and July.

Graph is by me, from data collected from Johns Hopkins University COVID site.
Graph is by me, from data collected from Johns Hopkins University COVID site.

According to Rt Live, more than half the states in the US now have an Rt of below 1.0 again.  This suggests that those states are on the downslope of the last peak, and virus is slowly going away in those states.  This is great news.

From Rt Live.

I spoke to testing professional this week who said that viral load, the number of viruses in a patient’s test sample, started coming down in April, when mask wearing became common place.  This supports my claim that even if a person gets exposed to the virus, they receive less virus if they’re wearing a mask. This may also be why the virus has been more survivable in the past few months.

Keep up the good work, and stay positive!
Erik

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